Antibiotics make people (especially children) gain weight by altering gut bacteria, as they do in fattened poultry; early-childhood antibiotic courses raise obesity risk.
Original statement
المضادات الحيويه بتوزن بتزود الوزن اه لانها بتاثر على المجتمع البكتيري بتاع قولونك وامعائك من الاخر كده فبتخن عشان كده العيال الصغيره لما بتضرب مضادات حيويه جه دور كحه اخد مضاد حيوي ف تلاقي الواد تخن
verbatim according to source. Translation by the project; the Arabic wording is authoritative.
Translation
Antibiotics make people (especially children) gain weight by altering gut bacteria, as they do in fattened poultry; early-childhood antibiotic courses raise obesity risk.
Origin
- Source status
- Video transcript (own words)
- Attribution
- Elawady (machine transcript)
- Video
- Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! مصدر الغذاء الوريد البابي (Open source)
- Published
- 27 July 2025
- Timestamp
- 0:50:11 (location in the original video’s automatic YouTube caption track; confirms where the words occur, not who speaks)
- Attribution uncertainty
- Archive transcript (YouTube CC or AI-generated); wording may contain transcription errors; no timestamps; 'published' is the date listed by the archive. Passage read in context.
- Claimed mechanism
Altered gut microbiota changes energy metabolism (growth-promotion effect known from livestock).
- Claimed health effect
Obesity.
- Population concerned
Children
- Geographic restriction by Elawady
none found
Diverging source versions
والمضادات تسهم في السمنة
- Source status
- Archive quote (no location given)
- Attribution
- Elawady (archive paraphrase; source video not given)
- Origin
- https://eltayebat.com/rule/antibiotic-overuse/
- Attribution uncertainty
- Text in the archive's 'د. ضياء يقول' box; no video reference given by the archive.
Scientific assessment
Unclear / insufficient evidence – The data do not allow an assessment either way.
Certainty of evidence: low – Further research is likely to change the assessment considerably.
1. What was claimed?
Antibiotics cause weight gain via gut bacteria.
2. What is demonstrably correct?
Antibiotics alter gut bacteria (see C-ABX-04). In randomised trials in children in low- and middle-income countries, antibiotics increased weight gain by 23.8 g/month (4.3-43.3) (I-ABX-111) - a growth effect comparable in direction to livestock growth promotion. Observational studies show a small association between early antibiotic courses and later overweight: Bailey 2014 RR 1.11 for >=4 courses (A-ABX-01); PCORnet BMI z +0.04, OR 1.05 (I-ABX-110); register cohort of 33,095 children aHR 1.20 for obesity (I-ABX-113); meta-analyses OR 1.11 (I-ABX-05) and postnatal OR 1.09, >=4 courses OR 1.31, very low certainty (I-ABX-04). Mice: continuous low-dose penicillin in early life increased adiposity via the microbiota (A-ABX-03).
3. What is wrong or exaggerated?
Within families the association disappears: Danish sibling analysis overweight HR 1.02 (0.86-1.22) versus 1.34 in the whole population (I-ABX-114); Dutch twin study OR 1.00 (0.90-1.12) with null co-twin analyses (I-ABX-112). The largest single cohort found only a very small difference (about 1 percentage point more overweight; I-ABX-110). The RCT weight gain concerns undernourished, infection-burdened children, where it is a benefit, not obesity (I-ABX-111). The mouse model used continuous sub-therapeutic doses (A-ABX-03), unlike treatment courses. 'You see the boy get fat' is anecdotal.
4. What remains unclear?
Whether repeated broad-spectrum courses in the first year have a small causal effect that family designs cannot detect.
5. Which studies support it?
A-ABX-01, I-ABX-05, I-ABX-110, I-ABX-113 (small associations); A-ABX-03 (mouse growth-promoter model, mechanistic only); partly I-ABX-111 (weight gain in RCTs in undernourished children), A-ABX-02 and I-ABX-04.
6. Which studies contradict it?
I-ABX-114 (Danish sibling analysis: overweight HR 1.02, 0.86-1.22), I-ABX-112 (Dutch twins: OR 1.00, 0.90-1.12); I-ABX-04 (certainty very low).
7. What applies to Germany and Europe?
European family-based studies (Denmark, I-ABX-114; Netherlands, I-ABX-112) find no association within families; UK ALSPAC found only a transient association (A-ABX-02). Antibiotic growth promoters in animal feed have been banned in the EU since 2006.
8. What is known about Egypt?
No Egyptian data were reviewed.
9. What practical conclusion is appropriate?
Avoid unnecessary antibiotics in infants for many reasons (resistance, side effects), but fear of weight gain is not a reason to withhold antibiotics from a child with a bacterial infection that needs treatment.
Assessment details
- Rationale for certainty of evidence
Conventional cohorts and meta-analyses show small, consistent associations (e.g. OR 1.05 in 362,550 US children, I-ABX-110; OR 1.09 postnatal, very low certainty, I-ABX-04). However, two large family-based studies find no association after controlling for shared family factors: Danish siblings, overweight HR 1.34 -> 1.02 (0.86-1.22) (I-ABX-114); Dutch twins, OR 1.00 (0.90-1.12) (I-ABX-112). RCTs show antibiotics increase weight gain only in undernourished children in low- and middle-income countries (I-ABX-111). Causation for obesity is therefore not established.
- Source quality
Elawady's statement is a strong causal claim; archive cites the best available data accurately.
- Regional transferability
Moderate.
- Individual exceptions
Effect per child is small; many children receive antibiotics without becoming obese.
- Regional scope of the claim
- general (biological/medical)
- Last reviewed
- 26 October 2026 provisional
Scientific evidence in detail
Overinterpreted – A real finding exists, but the claim draws more from it than the data allow (e.g. association taken as cause, animal data applied to humans, small effect presented as large).
Research question: In children, does antibiotic exposure in early life cause later overweight or obesity through gut microbiota changes, as antibiotic growth promoters do in livestock?
Research question in detail (PECO)
- Population
- Infants and young children
- Intervention or exposure
- Antibiotic courses in the first 2 years of life
- Comparison
- No antibiotic exposure (including within-family comparisons)
- Geographic scope
- Universal biology; exposure levels differ by country
- Outcomes
- Overweight/obesity
- BMI z-score
- Weight gain
Study results as reported by the authors. Our assessment follows below.
What speaks for the claim?
Antibiotics helped children in poorer countries grow
Gough EK et al.. BMJ 2014 · PMID 24735883 · DOI 10.1136/bmj.g2267 Meta-analysisabstract checkednewly addedMeta-analysis of 10 RCTs in LMIC children.
- Actual result
- Weight +23.8 g/month (4.3-43.3) with antibiotics.
- Methodological quality
- high (RCTs)
- Relevance
- indirect: shows antibiotics can increase weight gain (growth promotion) in undernourished, infection-burdened children, not obesity
- Limitations
- Different population; benefit in this context.
Early antibiotics and childhood overweight (meta-analysis 2023)
Chagas AP et al.. Obes Res Clin Pract 2023 · PMID 37573229 · DOI 10.1016/j.orcp.2023.07.001 Meta-analysisabstract checked2023 meta-analysis of observational studies.
- Actual result
- Postnatal OR 1.09 (1.05-1.12); >=4 courses OR 1.31 (1.17-1.46); very low certainty.
- Methodological quality
- low (observational, very low certainty per authors)
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- Confounding by infections.
Early antibiotics linked to slightly more childhood obesity
Ainonen S et al.. Pediatr Res 2026 · PMID 41792341 · DOI 10.1038/s41390-026-04841-8 Cohort studyabstract checkednewly addedRegister cohort of 33,095 children (country not stated in abstract).
- Actual result
- aHR obesity 1.20 (1.10-1.31), overweight 1.09 (1.04-1.13) for exposure <24 months.
- Methodological quality
- moderate
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- No within-family control.
What speaks against the claim?
Danish siblings: early antibiotics not linked to overweight, weakly to asthma
Brandt S et al.. BMJ Med 2025 · PMID 40519361 · DOI 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001064 Cohort studyfull text checkednewly addedDanish nationwide registry with sibling analysis.
- Actual result
- Overweight adjusted HR 1.34 (1.25-1.43) -> sibling HR 1.02 (0.86-1.22).
- Methodological quality
- high (518,483 children; sibling design; full text read)
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- Overweight only from hospital diagnoses.
Twin study finds no link between baby antibiotics and overweight
Feil RS et al.. Int J Obes (Lond) 2026 · PMID 42457938 · DOI 10.1038/s41366-026-02164-6 Cohort studyabstract checkednewly addedDutch twin cohort, 34,142 twins.
- Actual result
- Overweight/obesity OR 1.00 (0.90-1.12); co-twin analyses null.
- Methodological quality
- moderate-high (twin design)
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- Parent-reported antibiotic use.
Antibiotics in babies linked to very slightly higher weight at age 5
Block JP et al.. Pediatrics 2018 · PMID 30381474 · DOI 10.1542/peds.2018-0290 Cohort studyabstract checkednewly addedPCORnet cohort, 362,550 children.
- Actual result
- BMI z +0.04 (0.03-0.05); OR 1.05 (1.03-1.07): about 1 percentage point.
- Methodological quality
- moderate
- Relevance
- direct; shows effect is very small even if real
- Limitations
- Observational.
What does the overall evidence say?
Editorial assessment based on the studies above – not itself a study result.
Which position is better supported?
Antibiotics can increase weight gain in undernourished children (RCTs), and observational studies show a small, consistent association with later overweight; but family-based designs (siblings, twins) largely eliminate the association, so a meaningful causal effect on obesity in children is not established.
Why some studies weigh more
Within-family designs (I-ABX-114, I-ABX-112) control genetic and shared environmental confounding and weigh more than conventional cohorts for the causal question; RCTs in LMICs answer a different question (growth in undernutrition).
Is a causal relationship established? Not established Associations attenuate to null within families; confounding by infections and family factors (I-ABX-114, Ohler 2022 screened) is the most likely explanation for most of the association. The mouse growth-promoter model (A-ABX-03) is not transferable to treatment courses.
Remaining uncertainty
A small residual effect of repeated broad-spectrum courses cannot be excluded.
Justified conclusion
The link is small and probably largely non-causal; 'antibiotics make children fat' is not supported.
Why do studies seem to disagree?
Conventional cohorts (A-ABX-01, I-ABX-110, I-ABX-113) vs family-based designs (I-ABX-114, I-ABX-112): they answer different questions - association in the population vs causal effect after removing family factors. The RCT growth effect (I-ABX-111) concerns undernourished children with high infection burdens, where treating infections improves growth.
Does this depend on the country?
- General biological effects
- Biology universal; mechanistic data come from mice and livestock growth-promoter regimens (continuous low doses), not treatment courses.
- Eating habits
- Not applicable.
- Origin of the food
- Not applicable.
- Contaminants
- Residues of veterinary antibiotics in food are a separate issue (not assessed here).
- National production conditions
- Livestock growth promotion: banned in the EU since 2006; 22% of WOAH reporting members still used growth promoters in 2022; Egyptian farm survey: 65% reported non-therapeutic use (the project's research files).
- Legal rules
- EU Regulation 2019/6 bans antimicrobials for growth promotion; WHO recommends complete restriction for growth promotion.
- Actual monitoring data
- Egypt: no national veterinary antimicrobial use data in mg/PCU found (the project's research files).
A regional difference that changes the conclusion is not supported by robust data.
Statistical re-check
- Attenuation within siblings – About 93% of the log-excess risk for overweight disappears within sibships (1.34 -> 1.02); CIs log-symmetric. recalculated
- Absolute effect – OR 1.05 at 28% prevalence -> about 1.0 percentage point (NNH about 101; approximate). recalculated
- CI symmetry – OR 1.00 (0.90-1.12) log-symmetric. recalculated
- Annualised effect – 23.8 g/month = about 286 g/year. recalculated
Certainty of the overall evidence (GRADE, simplified)
- Main outcome
- Childhood overweight/obesity after early-life antibiotics
- Starting level
- low (observational studies)
- Reasons for downgrading
- risk of bias (confounding by indication and family factors)
- inconsistency (family-based designs null)
- Reasons for upgrading
- dose-response in conventional cohorts (weakened by family designs)
- Result
- low
Simplified assessment by a single reviewer, following the GRADE approach; not a formal GRADE panel. GRADE rates the body of evidence for one outcome, not individual studies.
Clinical guidelines and official statements checked
- WHO: The WHO AWaRe (Access, Watch, Reserve) antibiotic book (2022) · Original publication
Inappropriate use and overuse of antibiotics drive AMR; the book gives evidence-based guidance on antibiotic choice, dose, route and duration for over 30 common infections in children and adults.
Search strategy
Documented literature searches for this review (search strings in the original database syntax).
| Database | Date | Search | Looking for | Hits | Included |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | (antibiotic*) AND (infancy OR "early life" OR "early-life" OR infant*) AND (obesity OR overweight OR BMI OR adiposity) AND (PUB_TYPE:"Systematic Review" OR TITLE:"meta-analysis") AND PUB_YEAR:[2019 TO 2026] | supporting evidence | 783 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | (antibiotic*) AND (infancy OR "early life" OR infant* OR childhood) AND (obesity OR overweight OR "body mass index") AND (sibling OR "negative control" OR "familial confounding") | contradicting evidence | 2966 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | (antibiotic*) AND (children) AND ("weight gain" OR growth) AND (randomized OR randomised OR "meta-analysis") AND ("low-income" OR "low- and middle-income" OR malnutrition OR "developing countries") | supporting evidence | 10021 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | TITLE:"Early Antibiotic Exposure and Weight Outcomes in Young Children" | supporting evidence | 2 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | TITLE:"impact of antibiotics on growth in children in low and middle income countries" | supporting evidence | 1 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | TITLE:(antibiotic*) AND TITLE:(obesity OR overweight OR "body mass" OR weight) AND TITLE:(sibling* OR twin* OR "within-family") | contradicting evidence | 1 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | TITLE:(antibiotic*) AND TITLE:(obesity OR overweight OR "body mass" OR BMI) AND TITLE:(child* OR infan* OR "early life" OR "early-life") AND PUB_YEAR:[2022 TO 2026] | both directions | 29 | |
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | (antibiotic*) AND (asthma) AND (infan* OR "early life" OR childhood) AND ("sibling analysis" OR "sibling comparison" OR "sibling design" OR "sibling-controlled") | contradicting evidence | 83 | |
| PubMed | 26 October 2026 | (antibiotic*[ti]) AND (obesity[ti] OR overweight[ti] OR "body mass"[ti] OR weight[ti]) AND (infan*[ti] OR child*[ti] OR "early life"[ti] OR "early-life"[ti]) AND (meta-analysis[pt] OR systematic review[pt] OR sibling*[tiab] OR twin*[tiab]) | both directions | 15 |
Open questions
Whether repeated broad-spectrum courses in the first year have a small causal effect; studies with negative-control exposures.
How deeply was this checked?
10 linked studies: 3 checked in full text (2 of them with a structured risk-of-bias assessment), 7 on the basis of the abstract, 0 bibliographically only. No formal assessment with two independent reviewers and no independent human expert review has taken place yet.
Last scientific review: 26 October 2026
History of the verdict
- 25 October 2026 · Phase 1 · Initial assessment: Potentially true (low)
- 26 October 2026 · Phase 4 (systematic evidence review) · Verdict changed: Potentially true (low) → Unclear / insufficient evidence (low)
Changed because the evidence base changed materially: two large family-based studies (Danish sibling analysis, I-ABX-114; Dutch twin study, I-ABX-112) find no association after controlling for shared family factors, while conventional cohorts show only very small effects (I-ABX-110). The causal claim is therefore not supported, but a small effect cannot be excluded; RCT growth effects in undernourished children (I-ABX-111) do not translate into obesity risk.
New sources: I-ABX-110 I-ABX-111 I-ABX-112 I-ABX-113 I-ABX-114
In plain language
Children who received antibiotics as babies are, on average, very slightly heavier later. But when researchers compared brothers and sisters, or twins, the difference disappeared. This suggests that family factors and frequent infections, not the antibiotics themselves, explain most of the link. In poor countries, antibiotics help undernourished children grow, which is a benefit. It is not shown that antibiotics make children obese.
Studies on this claim
Studies supporting the claim (5)
-
Antibiotics in infancy and childhood obesity
Bailey LC et al.. JAMA Pediatr 2014 · PMID 25265089 · DOI 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2014.1539Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archiveabstract checked★ key studyChildren with 4+ antibiotic courses before age 2 were about 11% more likely to be obese.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Link antibiotics to obesity.
- How was the study done?
Health-record cohort.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
64,580 children.
- What was actually found?
Small increased risk with broad-spectrum.
- How large was the observed effect?
RR 1.11-1.16.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Small effect, may not be causal.
- What are the study's limitations?
Observational.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports association.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Causation.
-
Antibiotics, gut bacteria and fat in mice
Cox LM et al.. Cell 2014 · PMID 25126780 · DOI 10.1016/j.cell.2014.05.052Animal studycited by the Tayebat archivefull text, structured risk-of-bias assessment★ key studyLow-dose penicillin early in life made mice fatter via their gut bacteria.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Test causality in mice.
- How was the study done?
Experiments, microbiota transfer.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
Mouse groups of about 3-10 animals per experiment.
- What was actually found?
Continuous low-dose penicillin early in life increased weight and fat in mice (effects differed by sex); germ-free mice given the altered gut bacteria gained fat faster.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Shows a plausible mechanism.
- What are the study's limitations?
Mouse model; tiny groups and many tests; continuous low dosing like farm growth promoters, unlike human treatment courses; effects inconsistent between sexes.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Mechanism only.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Human effect.
-
Infant antibiotics and overweight (meta-analysis 2018)
Rasmussen SH et al.. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018 · PMID 29359849 · DOI 10.1111/dom.13230Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checkedSlightly higher risk, mainly with repeated or very early treatment.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Pool studies.
- How was the study done?
Meta-analysis.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
13 studies.
- What was actually found?
Small association.
- How large was the observed effect?
OR 1.11.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Small.
- What are the study's limitations?
Observational.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports association.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Mechanism.
-
Antibiotics in babies linked to very slightly higher weight at age 5
Block JP et al.. Pediatrics 2018 · PMID 30381474 · DOI 10.1542/peds.2018-0290Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key studyChildren given antibiotics before age 2 were very slightly heavier at age 5.
Small association: BMI z +0.04; OR 1.05
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Check whether early antibiotics relate to weight at 5
- How was the study done?
Health-record cohort
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
362,550 children
- What was actually found?
Very slightly higher weight
- How large was the observed effect?
BMI z +0.04; OR 1.05
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
The difference is tiny for an individual child
- What are the study's limitations?
Cannot separate effect of infections
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports a small association, not a large causal effect
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Whether antibiotics cause the difference
-
Early antibiotics linked to slightly more childhood obesity
Ainonen S et al.. Pediatr Res 2026 · PMID 41792341 · DOI 10.1038/s41390-026-04841-8Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checkedAntibiotics in the first 2 years were linked to a 20% higher relative risk of obesity by age 12.
aHR obesity 1.20 for antibiotics in first 24 months
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Check timing of antibiotic exposure and child weight
- How was the study done?
Register cohort
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
33,095 children
- What was actually found?
Exposure in first 2 years linked to more overweight/obesity
- How large was the observed effect?
aHR 1.09 overweight; 1.20 obesity
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Small relative increase; not proof of cause
- What are the study's limitations?
No family-based control
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports an association
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Whether antibiotics are the cause
No study in this group is marked as key.
Studies contradicting or limiting the claim (2)
-
Twin study finds no link between baby antibiotics and overweight
Feil RS et al.. Int J Obes (Lond) 2026 · PMID 42457938 · DOI 10.1038/s41366-026-02164-6Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key studyAmong 34,142 Dutch twins, early antibiotics were not linked to overweight or obesity.
Twin study: OR 1.00 (0.90-1.12) for overweight/obesity
Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Test the antibiotic-weight link while controlling for family
- How was the study done?
Twin cohort
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
34,142 twins
- What was actually found?
No association
- How large was the observed effect?
OR 1.00 (0.90-1.12)
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Earlier links may reflect family factors
- What are the study's limitations?
Antibiotic use reported by parents
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Contradicts the claim
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Effects of many courses
-
Danish siblings: early antibiotics not linked to overweight, weakly to asthma
Brandt S et al.. BMJ Med 2025 · PMID 40519361 · DOI 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001064Cohort studyindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key studyComparing siblings, the link with overweight vanished and the link with asthma halved.
Overweight: adjusted HR 1.34 -> sibling HR 1.02 (0.86-1.22)
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Test links between baby antibiotics and later diseases
- How was the study done?
National registers with sibling comparison
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
518,483 children
- What was actually found?
Most links weakened within families; asthma and eczema remained
- How large was the observed effect?
Overweight sibling HR 1.02; asthma sibling HR 1.24
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Family factors explain much of the earlier findings
- What are the study's limitations?
Overweight only from hospital records
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Contradicts antibiotics causing obesity; partly supports an asthma link
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Causality for asthma
No study in this group is marked as key.
Studies with mixed or unclear results (3)
-
Early antibiotics and childhood overweight (meta-analysis 2023)
Chagas AP et al.. Obes Res Clin Pract 2023 · PMID 37573229 · DOI 10.1016/j.orcp.2023.07.001Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key studyA small association (about 9-10% higher odds) was found, but certainty was very low.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Pool cohort studies.
- How was the study done?
Meta-analysis.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
42 studies.
- What was actually found?
Small association.
- How large was the observed effect?
OR 1.09; 4+ courses 1.31.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Possible small effect.
- What are the study's limitations?
Very low certainty.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Weakly supports.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Moderate.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Causation.
-
Infant antibiotics and body mass (UK)
Trasande L et al.. Int J Obes (Lond) 2013 · PMID 22907693 · DOI 10.1038/ijo.2012.132Cohort studycited by the Tayebat archivefull text, structured risk-of-bias assessmentAntibiotics before 6 months were linked to slightly higher body mass later.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Link antibiotics to weight.
- How was the study done?
Birth cohort.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
11,532.
- What was actually found?
Antibiotics before 6 months: body mass slightly higher at 10-38 months (+0.07 to +0.1 SD), overweight odds 1.22 at 38 months; no clear effect at 7 years; later exposures not consistently linked.
- How large was the observed effect?
+0.067 SD BMI at 38 months, about 90 g; overweight OR 1.22.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Small.
- What are the study's limitations?
Parent-reported antibiotics; infections themselves not accounted for; effect not seen at 7 years; many comparisons.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports association.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Causation, or a lasting effect on obesity beyond early childhood.
-
Antibiotics helped children in poorer countries grow
Gough EK et al.. BMJ 2014 · PMID 24735883 · DOI 10.1136/bmj.g2267Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key studyIn randomised trials, children given antibiotics gained about 24 g more per month.
RCTs: antibiotics increase weight gain in LMIC children (growth), not evidence of obesity
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Test antibiotic effects on child growth
- How was the study done?
Meta-analysis of 10 randomised trials
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
4316 children in LMICs
- What was actually found?
Slightly more weight and height gain
- How large was the observed effect?
+23.8 g/month
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
In undernourished children this is a benefit
- What are the study's limitations?
Different setting from obesity
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Partly supports 'antibiotics increase weight'; not 'cause obesity'
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
Low
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Effect in well-fed children
No study in this group is marked as key.
Regional context
Germany / EU
European family-based studies (Denmark, I-ABX-114; Netherlands, I-ABX-112) find no association within families; UK ALSPAC found only a transient association (A-ABX-02). Antibiotic growth promoters in animal feed have been banned in the EU since 2006.
Egypt
No Egyptian data were reviewed.
What applies in my country?
General scientific assessment
Unclear / insufficient evidence Not established: the small link between early antibiotics and later weight largely disappears in sibling and twin studies, so antibiotics are not shown to make children fat.
This statement concerns biological or medical relationships. The scientific assessment above applies regardless of the country; country-specific food data do not change it.
References
- Association of antibiotics in infancy with early childhood obesity.. Bailey LC et al.. JAMA Pediatr 2014 · PMID 25265089 · DOI 10.1001/jamapediatrics.2014.1539
- Altering the intestinal microbiota during a critical developmental window has lasting metabolic consequences.. Cox LM et al.. Cell 2014 · PMID 25126780 · DOI 10.1016/j.cell.2014.05.052
- Antibiotic exposure in early life and childhood overweight and obesity: A systematic review and meta-analysis.. Rasmussen SH et al.. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018 · PMID 29359849 · DOI 10.1111/dom.13230
- Early Antibiotic Exposure and Weight Outcomes in Young Children.. Block JP et al.. Pediatrics 2018 · PMID 30381474 · DOI 10.1542/peds.2018-0290
- Early-life antibiotic exposure and the risk of overweight and obesity in children.. Ainonen S et al.. Pediatr Res 2026 · PMID 41792341 · DOI 10.1038/s41390-026-04841-8
- Early-life antibiotic use and children with overweight and obesity: a Dutch twin cohort study.. Feil RS et al.. Int J Obes (Lond) 2026 · PMID 42457938 · DOI 10.1038/s41366-026-02164-6
- Use of antibiotics in early life and development of diseases in childhood: nationwide registry study.. Brandt S et al.. BMJ Med 2025 · PMID 40519361 · DOI 10.1136/bmjmed-2024-001064
- Early-life exposure to antibiotics and excess body weight in childhood and adolescence: A systematic review and meta-analysis.. Chagas AP et al.. Obes Res Clin Pract 2023 · PMID 37573229 · DOI 10.1016/j.orcp.2023.07.001
- Infant antibiotic exposures and early-life body mass.. Trasande L et al.. Int J Obes (Lond) 2013 · PMID 22907693 · DOI 10.1038/ijo.2012.132
- The impact of antibiotics on growth in children in low and middle income countries: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.. Gough EK et al.. BMJ 2014 · PMID 24735883 · DOI 10.1136/bmj.g2267