Farming carnivorous fish species depletes the wild fish stocks used as feed rather than relieving pressure on the oceans.
Original statement
استزراع الأنواع المفترسة يستنزف الأرصدة البريّة كأعلاف
verbatim according to source. Translation by the project; the Arabic wording is authoritative.
Translation
Farming carnivorous fish species depletes the wild fish stocks used as feed rather than relieving pressure on the oceans.
Origin
- Source status
- Archive editors
- Attribution
- Archive editors (eltayebat.com)
- Origin
- https://eltayebat.com/rule/farmed-fish/
- Attribution uncertainty
- Archive editorial narrative and featured-study cards, written by the archive operators; study selection is the archive's, not necessarily Elawady's.
- Claimed mechanism
Wild fish used for fish meal/oil.
- Claimed health effect
Ecological (not health).
- Geographic restriction by Elawady
none found
Scientific assessment
Mostly true – Correct at its core, but with limitations or minor inaccuracies.
Certainty of evidence: low – Further research is likely to change the assessment considerably.
1. What was claimed?
Aquaculture of carnivorous species depletes wild stocks.
2. What is demonstrably correct?
Naylor et al. 2000 stated that the opposite of relieving pressure is true 'for some types of aquaculture', especially carnivorous species (A-FSH-19).
3. What is wrong or exaggerated?
The archive omits that the same paper concludes that aquaculture overall still adds to world fish supplies. Since 2006, salmon feeds have replaced much fish oil with plant oils (I-FSH-01).
4. What remains unclear?
Current net balance.
5. Which studies support it?
A-FSH-19; I-FSH-118 (Majluf 2024: carnivorous aquaculture consumes most of the world's fishmeal and fish oil; the FIFO metric understates wild-fish use).
6. Which studies contradict it?
A-FSH-19 (overall conclusion), I-FSH-01, I-FSH-114 (Naylor 2021: fish-in-fish-out ratio lowered for all fed species, though dependence on marine ingredients persists).
7. What applies to Germany and Europe?
Much farmed salmon sold in Europe is Atlantic salmon; since 2006 its feeds have replaced much fish oil with plant oils (I-FSH-01), which reduces wild-fish inputs.
8. What is known about Egypt?
Tilapia is mostly omnivorous; this argument applies less to Egyptian tilapia farming.
9. What practical conclusion is appropriate?
This is an environmental, not a health argument.
Assessment details
- Rationale for certainty of evidence
Based on a 2000 Nature review; feed composition has since shifted toward plant ingredients (I-FSH-01), which lowers wild fish inputs. The same review states that 'on balance, global aquaculture production still adds to world fish supplies'.
- Source quality
Highly cited review.
- Regional transferability
Global.
- Individual exceptions
Not applicable.
- Regional scope of the claim
- general (biological/medical)
- Last reviewed
- 26 October 2026 provisional
Scientific evidence in detail
True only under certain conditions – The claim holds only for certain doses, groups of people, preparations or circumstances.
Research question: Does farming carnivorous fish deplete wild fish stocks used as feed rather than relieve pressure on the oceans?
Research question in detail (PECO)
- Population
- Wild forage fish stocks
- Intervention or exposure
- Carnivorous aquaculture
- Comparison
- Capture fisheries
- Geographic scope
- Global
- Outcomes
- Wild fish used per unit farmed fish
Study results as reported by the authors. Our assessment follows below.
What speaks for the claim?
Fish farming still eats a lot of wild fish
Majluf P et al.. Sci Adv 2024 · PMID 39413173 · DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adn5650 Narrative reviewabstract checkednewly addedMajluf 2024: carnivorous aquaculture consumes most of the world's fishmeal and fish oil, and the FIFO metric understates wild-fish use.
- Actual result
- Qualitative.
- Methodological quality
- moderate (review; abstract only)
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- Methods not seen.
Does fish farming help wild fish stocks? (2000)
Naylor RL et al.. Nature 2000 · PMID 10890435 · DOI 10.1038/35016500 Narrative reviewabstract checkedNaylor 2000: for carnivorous species the opposite of relieving pressure is true.
- Actual result
- Qualitative.
- Methodological quality
- moderate
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- 2000.
What speaks against the claim?
Aquaculture 20 years on
Naylor RL et al.. Nature 2021 · PMID 33762770 · DOI 10.1038/s41586-021-03308-6 Narrative reviewabstract checkednewly addedNaylor 2021: FIFO lowered for all fed species, though dependence persists.
- Actual result
- Qualitative.
- Methodological quality
- moderate (narrative review)
- Relevance
- direct
- Limitations
- Abstract only.
What does the overall evidence say?
Editorial assessment based on the studies above – not itself a study result.
Which position is better supported?
Carnivorous aquaculture still depends heavily on wild forage fish; feed efficiency has improved, but how much is disputed.
Why some studies weigh more
Two recent reviews disagree on how to interpret FIFO; both agree dependence persists.
Is a causal relationship established? Probable Fishmeal comes mainly from small pelagic fish.
Remaining uncertainty
Net balance per species.
Justified conclusion
Largely correct for carnivorous species; an environmental, not a health argument.
Why do studies seem to disagree?
I-FSH-114 (industry-based FIFO improvements) and I-FSH-118 (FIFO misleading) use different accounting of by-products and averaging across species.
Does this depend on the country?
- General biological effects
- Not applicable.
- Eating habits
- Not applicable.
- Origin of the food
- Global feed markets.
- Contaminants
- Not applicable.
- National production conditions
- Egyptian tilapia is mainly omnivorous.
- Legal rules
- None.
- Actual monitoring data
- Not applicable.
A regional difference that changes the conclusion is not supported by robust data.
Certainty of the overall evidence (GRADE, simplified)
- Main outcome
- Wild fish dependence of carnivorous aquaculture
- Starting level
- low (observational studies)
- Reasons for downgrading
- inconsistency in metrics
- Result
- low
Simplified assessment by a single reviewer, following the GRADE approach; not a formal GRADE panel. GRADE rates the body of evidence for one outcome, not individual studies.
Search strategy
Documented literature searches for this review (search strings in the original database syntax).
| Database | Date | Search | Looking for | Hits | Included |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Europe PMC | 26 October 2026 | ("fish-in-fish-out" OR "forage fish" OR "fish meal") AND (salmon OR aquaculture) AND (wild fish OR marine ingredients) AND (net OR dependency) | both directions | 267 | |
| PubMed | 26 October 2026 | efetch PMID 33762770 (Naylor 2021, 20-year update of the archive-cited Naylor 2000) | contradicting evidence | 1 |
Open questions
Species-level net balance.
How deeply was this checked?
4 linked studies: 1 checked in full text (1 of them with a structured risk-of-bias assessment), 3 on the basis of the abstract, 0 bibliographically only. No formal assessment with two independent reviewers and no independent human expert review has taken place yet.
Last scientific review: 26 October 2026
History of the verdict
In plain language
A 2000 review in Nature found that farming carnivorous fish like salmon needs a lot of wild fish as feed. The same review said that fish farming overall still adds to the world's fish supply. Feeds have changed since then. This is about the environment, not about whether the fish is healthy to eat.
Studies on this claim
Studies supporting the claim (2)
-
Does fish farming help wild fish stocks? (2000)
Naylor RL et al.. Nature 2000 · PMID 10890435 · DOI 10.1038/35016500Narrative reviewcited by the Tayebat archiveabstract checkedFarming carnivorous fish uses many wild fish as feed, but aquaculture overall still adds fish.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Assess supply effect.
- How was the study done?
Review.
- What was actually found?
Mixed effect.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Environmental issue.
- What are the study's limitations?
Old.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Partly supports.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Health effects.
-
Fish farming still eats a lot of wild fish
Majluf P et al.. Sci Adv 2024 · PMID 39413173 · DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adn5650Narrative reviewindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key studyFarmed carnivorous species such as salmon and shrimp use most of the world's fishmeal and fish oil, made mainly from small wild fish; the usual efficiency metric hides this.
Carnivorous species consume most FMFO; FIFO understates wild-fish use.
Does the study support the specific claim? Yes · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Review FMFO use and the FIFO metric.
- How was the study done?
Review.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
Global feed data.
- What was actually found?
Carnivorous aquaculture uses most FMFO; FIFO is misleading.
- How large was the observed effect?
Not in abstract.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Farming carnivorous fish still depends on wild fish.
- What are the study's limitations?
Abstract only.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports the claim.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Exact net balance per species.
No study in this group is marked as key.
Studies contradicting or limiting the claim (1)
-
Omega-3 in Scottish farmed salmon 2006-2015
Sprague M et al.. Sci Rep 2016 · PMID 26899924 · DOI 10.1038/srep21892Measurement / residue studyindependent cross-checkfull text, structured risk-of-bias assessment★ key studyOmega-3 in farmed Scottish salmon roughly halved from 2006 to 2015 (2.74 to 1.36 g per 100 g), but it still had more omega-3 per 100 g than the wild salmon tested (0.76 g) and most other foods.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Track omega-3 over time.
- How was the study done?
Fatty-acid analysis.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
>3000 salmon.
- What was actually found?
EPA+DHA fell from 2.74 to 1.36 g/100 g; plant fatty acids doubled; wild salmon tested had 0.76 g/100 g.
- How large was the observed effect?
Double portion needed vs 2006.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
Still a rich omega-3 source.
- What are the study's limitations?
Industry-supplied samples; only 21 wild salmon (mostly Pacific); Scotland only; data to 2015; no funding statement.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
Supports decline; contradicts 'benefit disappears'.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
Health outcomes; the omega-3:omega-6 ratio figures claimed by the archive.
No study in this group is marked as key.
Studies with mixed or unclear results (1)
-
Aquaculture 20 years on
Naylor RL et al.. Nature 2021 · PMID 33762770 · DOI 10.1038/s41586-021-03308-6Narrative reviewindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key studyFish farms now need less wild fish per kilogram of farmed fish, but still rely on marine feed ingredients.
FIFO lowered; marine dependence persists.
Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim
Original publication · Scientific details
Study explained simply
- What did the researchers want to find out?
Review 20 years of aquaculture.
- How was the study done?
Narrative review.
- How many people, animals or samples were studied?
Global.
- What was actually found?
Lower fish-in-fish-out ratio; persistent marine dependence.
- How large was the observed effect?
Not in abstract.
- What do the results mean in everyday life?
The feed problem has shrunk but not disappeared.
- What are the study's limitations?
Abstract only.
- What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?
The claim is dated.
- Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?
High.
- What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?
The net balance for salmon today.
No study in this group is marked as key.
Regional context
Germany / EU
Much farmed salmon sold in Europe is Atlantic salmon; since 2006 its feeds have replaced much fish oil with plant oils (I-FSH-01), which reduces wild-fish inputs.
Egypt
Tilapia is mostly omnivorous; this argument applies less to Egyptian tilapia farming.
- Antimicrobial use in food animals and antibiotic growth promoters
- Hormones in poultry, meat, milk and farmed fish
- Dioxins, PCBs and PFAS in eggs and other animal foods
- Heavy metals in fish
- Farmed fish (aquaculture): drugs, water source and controls
- Import controls and the meaning of RASFF notifications for Egyptian products
What applies in my country?
General scientific assessment
Mostly true Largely correct for carnivorous species such as salmon and shrimp, which still depend on wild forage fish despite better feed efficiency; this is an environmental, not a health argument.
The following areas of food safety are relevant to this statement:
- Veterinary medicines and antibiotics
- Contaminants (heavy metals, PFAS, PCBs, dioxins, nitrate)
- Pathogens (Salmonella, Campylobacter, etc.)
- Animal husbandry and feed
Fish and seafood
Choose a country to see the checked information for it.
Limits: legal rules describe what is allowed, not what every single food contains. Measurement data come from samples and are meaningful only together with their method details.
Country of residence or purchase Compare with another country
References
- Effect of aquaculture on world fish supplies.. Naylor RL et al.. Nature 2000 · PMID 10890435 · DOI 10.1038/35016500
- A review of the global use of fishmeal and fish oil and the Fish In:Fish Out metric.. Majluf P et al.. Sci Adv 2024 · PMID 39413173 · DOI 10.1126/sciadv.adn5650
- Impact of sustainable feeds on omega-3 long-chain fatty acid levels in farmed Atlantic salmon, 2006-2015.. Sprague M et al.. Sci Rep 2016 · PMID 26899924 · DOI 10.1038/srep21892
- A 20-year retrospective review of global aquaculture.. Naylor RL et al.. Nature 2021 · PMID 33762770 · DOI 10.1038/s41586-021-03308-6