Mostly false Scientifically refuted Certainty of evidence: moderate provisional C-ORG-07

Gallstones cause no symptoms and no harm, have nothing to do with pain after eating, and the gallbladder should not be removed.

Safety note: Severe or persistent upper abdominal pain, fever, jaundice (yellow eyes/skin) or vomiting in someone with gallstones needs urgent medical assessment (possible cholecystitis, cholangitis or pancreatitis).
In short: This claim is false as stated: gallstones are silent in most people, but they cause biliary pain and potentially dangerous complications in a minority, and symptomatic or complicated gallstones need medical treatment.
Conclusion: Most gallstones are silent, but the claim that they never cause symptoms is wrong.

Original statement

حصوات المراره جانبيه على حضرتك هي حصلت وخلاص حصوات بس وانتهت القصه على كده مالهاش اعراض مالهاش اثار جانبيه عليك مالهاش مالهاش وجع مزمن يروح لا مالهاش مالهاش وجع علاقه بالوجع اللي بيجيلك في الحته دي وبعد الاكل

verbatim according to source. Translation by the project; the Arabic wording is authoritative.

Translation

Gallstones cause no symptoms and no harm, have nothing to do with pain after eating, and the gallbladder should not be removed.

Origin

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! (Open source)
Published
27 August 2025
Timestamp
1:14:08 (location in the original video’s automatic YouTube caption track; confirms where the words occur, not who speaks)
Attribution uncertainty
Archive transcript (YouTube CC or AI-generated); wording may contain transcription errors; no timestamps available.
Claimed mechanism

Symptoms come from wrong food and bowel obstruction, not stones.

Claimed health effect

No harm from gallstones.

Population concerned

People with gallstones

Geographic restriction by Elawady

none found

Diverging source versions

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live!عرق النسا (Open source)
Published
28 December 2025
Timestamp
not available (transcript has no timings)
Attribution uncertainty
Archive transcript (YouTube CC or AI-generated); wording may contain transcription errors; no timestamps available.

Scientific assessment

Mostly false – Essential parts of the statement are not supported by the evidence or are strongly exaggerated.

Certainty of evidence: moderate – Further research may still affect the assessment.

1. What was claimed?

Gallstones are harmless and cause no symptoms.

2. What is demonstrably correct?

Partly correct: about 80% of gallstones remain asymptomatic (C-GALL background, I-ORG-09), and asymptomatic stones are generally not operated; for uncomplicated symptomatic stones, observation was not worse on general pain scores at 18 months (I-ORG-09).

3. What is wrong or exaggerated?

Wrong as a general statement: in C-GALL (I-ORG-09), 25 of 217 patients (11.5%) under observation had complications before surgery (mainly cholecystitis and biliary colic, also pancreatitis, bile-duct stones and jaundice), 29.5% needed surgery within 24 months, and gallstone-specific quality of life was better after cholecystectomy (difference 9.0).

4. What remains unclear?

Long-term outcomes of conservative management.

5. Which studies support it?

I-ORG-09 (partial).

6. Which studies contradict it?

I-ORG-09.

7. What applies to Germany and Europe?

Most cited cohorts are Scandinavian (Denmark, Sweden) and directly European; RCTs from the UK and Finland are directly transferable. Guidelines in Europe also emphasize defined indications (not verified here in detail).

8. What is known about Egypt?

No Egypt-specific data on rates or outcomes of tonsillectomy, cholecystectomy, hysterectomy, splenectomy or thyroid surgery were identified in this review.

9. What practical conclusion is appropriate?

Silent stones usually need no surgery; recurrent biliary pain or complications usually do.

Assessment details

Rationale for certainty of evidence

Most gallstones are indeed silent, but symptomatic gallstone disease and its complications are well documented; RCT shows benefit of surgery on gallstone-specific outcomes.

Source quality

Transcript statement; contradicts standard medical knowledge for symptomatic disease.

Regional transferability

Applicable.

Individual exceptions

About 80% of gallstones remain asymptomatic and generally do not need surgery.

Regional scope of the claim
general (biological/medical)
Last reviewed
26 October 2026 provisional

Scientific evidence in detail

Scientifically refuted – High-quality evidence shows the opposite, or the claim contradicts well-established physiology.

Research question: In adults with gallstones, do gallstones cause symptoms (including post-prandial biliary pain) and complications, and is cholecystectomy beneficial in symptomatic or complicated disease?

Research question in detail (PECO)
Population
Adults with incidental or symptomatic gallstones
Intervention or exposure
Gallstones left untreated
Comparison
Cholecystectomy / no gallstones
Geographic scope
universal biology
Outcomes
  • Development of symptoms
  • Complications (cholecystitis, pancreatitis, cholangitis)
  • Pain after cholecystectomy

Study results as reported by the authors. Our assessment follows below.

What speaks for the claim?

  • How often silent gallstones start causing problems

    Alzoubi M et al.. PLoS One 2026 · PMID 41886405 · DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0345462 Meta-analysisabstract checkednewly added

    Meta-analysis: most incidental gallstones stay silent; about 10% become symptomatic within 5 years.

    Actual result
    Cumulative symptomatic progression 0.10 (5 y), 0.19 (10 y), 0.26 (15 y).
    Methodological quality
    moderate (MA of 8 cohorts)
    Relevance
    direct for 'most stones are silent'
    Limitations
    Also shows that a minority do become symptomatic.

    Original publication

  • Fewer gallbladder operations by stricter selection

    Comes DJ et al.. JAMA Surg 2024 · PMID 39167382 · DOI 10.1001/jamasurg.2024.3080 Randomised controlled trialfull text checkednewly added

    SECURE RCT: about one third of patients still had pain after cholecystectomy, so not all abdominal pain in people with stones comes from the stones.

    Actual result
    Pain-free after cholecystectomy 63.6% / 63.0%.
    Methodological quality
    high (RCT, full text)
    Relevance
    direct for the 'pain' part
    Limitations
    Does not show gallstones never cause pain.

    Original publication

What speaks against the claim?

  • How often silent gallstones start causing problems

    Alzoubi M et al.. PLoS One 2026 · PMID 41886405 · DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0345462 Meta-analysisabstract checkednewly added

    The same meta-analysis shows a substantial minority develop symptoms over time.

    Actual result
    26% at 15 years.
    Methodological quality
    moderate
    Relevance
    direct
    Limitations
    Observational.

    Original publication

  • UK trial: remove the gallbladder or wait?

    Innes K et al.. Health Technol Assess 2024 · PMID 38943314 · DOI 10.3310/MNBY3104 Randomised controlled trialfull text, structured risk-of-bias assessment

    C-GALL RCT: under conservative management 11.5% had gallstone complications before surgery and 29.5% needed surgery within 24 months.

    Actual result
    Pre-surgery complications 11.5% vs 5.1%.
    Methodological quality
    high (RCT, full text)
    Relevance
    direct
    Limitations
    Uncomplicated symptomatic disease only.

    Original publication

  • UK guideline on gallstones

    National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). NICE guideline 2014 Guideline / position statementfull text checkednewly added

    NICE: symptomatic gallstones and acute cholecystitis should be offered cholecystectomy.

    Actual result
    Recommendations 1.2.2 and 1.2.4.
    Methodological quality
    high (national guideline)
    Relevance
    direct
    Limitations
    2014.

    Original publication

What does the overall evidence say?

Editorial assessment based on the studies above – not itself a study result.

Which position is better supported?

Most gallstones are silent and need no treatment (correct part), but gallstones do cause biliary pain and complications in a minority (about 2% per year develop symptoms), and these complications can be dangerous.

Why some studies weigh more

Natural-history meta-analysis and RCTs are direct; guidelines summarise consistent evidence.

Is a causal relationship established? Yes, established Gallstone complications (cholecystitis, biliary pancreatitis, cholangitis) are causally linked to stones by pathophysiology and clinical evidence.

Remaining uncertainty

Which patients with uncomplicated symptoms benefit most from surgery.

Justified conclusion

The claim that gallstones never cause symptoms or harm is false; leaving silent stones alone is correct; symptomatic or complicated stones need medical care.

Why do studies seem to disagree?

SECURE and C-GALL show that some pain attributed to gallstones persists after surgery and that observation is reasonable for some, which does not conflict with the natural-history data showing that stones do cause symptoms and complications in a minority.

Does this depend on the country?
General biological effects
Universal.
Eating habits
Diet affects gallstone formation risk but was not tested here.
Origin of the food
Not applicable.
Contaminants
Not applicable.
National production conditions
Not applicable.
Legal rules
Not applicable.
Actual monitoring data
No Egyptian natural-history data found; Arab-region search returned only Saudi studies of special groups (sickle cell, bariatric).

A regional difference that changes the conclusion is not supported by robust data.

Statistical re-check
  • Convert cumulative incidence to annual risk – About 2.0-2.1% per year (consistent with Cochrane's 2-4% per year) recalculated
  • Recalculate pain-free difference and operation-rate difference – -1.6 points (95% CI -8.7 to 5.5); operations -8.4 points recalculated
Certainty of the overall evidence (GRADE, simplified)
Main outcome
Gallstones causing symptoms/complications
Starting level
low (observational studies)
Reasons for upgrading
  • large effect / consistent across cohorts and trials
Result
moderate

Simplified assessment by a single reviewer, following the GRADE approach; not a formal GRADE panel. GRADE rates the body of evidence for one outcome, not individual studies.

Clinical guidelines and official statements checked
  • NICE: Gallstone disease: diagnosis and management (CG188), Recommendations (2014) · Original publication
    Reassure people with asymptomatic gallbladder stones that they need no treatment unless symptoms develop; offer laparoscopic cholecystectomy for symptomatic gallbladder stones; early cholecystectomy within 1 week for acute cholecystitis; bile duct clearance plus cholecystectomy for common bile duct stones (I-ORG-141).
  • Tokyo Guidelines (TG18): Tokyo Guidelines 2018: flowchart for the management of acute cholecystitis (2018) · Original publication
    Abstract: early laparoscopic cholecystectomy recommended for Grade I and (with experienced surgeons) Grade II acute cholecystitis in fit patients; for patients unsuitable for early surgery, early/urgent biliary drainage followed by delayed cholecystectomy. Erratum published 2019.
  • EASL: EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of gallstones (2016) · Original publication could not be retrieved; content not used
Search strategy

Documented literature searches for this review (search strings in the original database syntax).

DatabaseDateSearchLooking forHitsIncluded
Europe PMC26 October 2026(TITLE:"asymptomatic gallstones" OR TITLE:"incidental gallstones" OR TITLE:"silent gallstones" OR TITLE:"natural history" ) AND (gallstones OR cholelithiasis) AND (cohort OR prospective)both directions61
PubMed26 October 2026gallstones[ti] AND (natural history OR complications) AND (cohort OR prospective) AND asymptomaticboth directions32
Europe PMC26 October 2026(TITLE:gallstones OR TITLE:cholelithiasis OR TITLE:cholecystectomy) AND (TITLE:randomised OR TITLE:randomized) AND (conservative OR observation OR restrictive OR "watchful waiting")supporting evidence201
PubMed26 October 2026(cholecystectomy[ti]) AND (conservative management[tiab] OR watchful waiting[tiab] OR observation[tiab]) AND (systematic review[pt] OR meta-analysis[pt])both directions11
PubMed26 October 2026(gallstones[ti] OR cholelithiasis[ti]) AND (Egypt[tiab] OR Egyptian[tiab] OR Saudi[tiab] OR Arab[tiab]) AND (prevalence OR complications)both directions19
PubMed26 October 2026"EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of gallstones"guidelines1
PubMed26 October 2026Tokyo Guidelines 2018 flowchart management acute cholecystitisguidelines3

Open questions

Patient selection for cholecystectomy in uncomplicated disease.

How deeply was this checked?

4 linked studies: 3 checked in full text (1 of them with a structured risk-of-bias assessment), 1 on the basis of the abstract, 0 bibliographically only. No formal assessment with two independent reviewers and no independent human expert review has taken place yet.

Last scientific review: 26 October 2026

History of the verdict
  1. 25 October 2026 · Phase 1 · Initial assessment: Mostly false (moderate)
  2. 26 October 2026 · Phase 4 (systematic evidence review) · Re-examined with extended evidence; verdict unchanged: Mostly false (moderate)
    Unchanged (“Mostly false”, moderate). New evidence confirms both the correct part (most stones are silent; some post-operative pain is not from stones) and the false part (stones cause symptoms and complications in a minority).
    New sources: I-ORG-104 I-ORG-105 I-ORG-141

In plain language

Elawady said gallstones cause no symptoms and have nothing to do with pain after meals. It is true that most gallstones never cause problems and are usually left alone. But some gallstones do cause pain attacks and complications. In a UK trial, about 3 in 10 people who tried to avoid surgery needed it within two years, and gallstone-related quality of life was better after surgery.

Studies on this claim

Studies supporting the claim (0)

No studies in this group.

Studies contradicting or limiting the claim (1)

  • UK trial: remove the gallbladder or wait?

    Innes K et al.. Health Technol Assess 2024 · PMID 38943314 · DOI 10.3310/MNBY3104
    Randomised controlled trialindependent cross-checkfull text, structured risk-of-bias assessment★ key study

    Over 18 months general pain scores were similar, but about 30% of the 'wait' group needed surgery, 11.5% had gallstone complications before surgery, and gallstone-specific quality of life was better after surgery.

    Gallstones cause no symptoms and no harm, have nothing to do with pain after eating, and the gallbladder should not be removed.

    Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Gallstone management

    How was the study done?

    RCT

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    434

    What was actually found?

    Similar general QoL; better gallstone QoL with surgery

    How large was the observed effect?

    Difference 9.0 condition-specific

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Waiting can be an option, but gallstones do cause symptoms

    What are the study's limitations?

    Short follow-up; many crossovers; unblinded; many questionnaires missing later

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts 'gallstones cause no symptoms'

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    European

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Long-term outcomes

    Scientific details →

Studies with mixed or unclear results (3)

  • Fewer gallbladder operations by stricter selection

    Comes DJ et al.. JAMA Surg 2024 · PMID 39167382 · DOI 10.1001/jamasurg.2024.3080
    Randomised controlled trialindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key study

    A stricter selection avoided about 8 in 100 operations without more complications, but about a third of patients still had pain after surgery in both groups.

    About one third still had pain after removal (not all pain is from stones), but the trial did not test non-treatment and complications occurred in both arms.

    Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Test whether stricter selection for gallbladder surgery is safe in the long term

    How was the study done?

    Randomised trial with 5-year follow-up

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    1067 Dutch adults with gallstones and abdominal pain

    What was actually found?

    Fewer operations, no more complications; only about two thirds pain free in both groups

    How large was the observed effect?

    Operation rate 73.2% vs 81.5%

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Gallstones are not always the cause of pain; surgery should be well indicated

    What are the study's limitations?

    Protocol deviations and missing survey data

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Partly supports caution, not a ban on surgery

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    Directly applicable

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Cannot say that untreated symptomatic gallstones are harmless

    Scientific details →

  • How often silent gallstones start causing problems

    Alzoubi M et al.. PLoS One 2026 · PMID 41886405 · DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0345462
    Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study

    About 10% of people with silent gallstones develop symptoms within 5 years and about 19% within 10 years.

    Most stones stay silent (correct part), but about 1 in 5 becomes symptomatic within 10 years (refutes 'no symptoms').

    Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Estimate how often incidental gallstones become symptomatic

    How was the study done?

    Meta-analysis of 8 cohort studies

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    25,924 adults

    What was actually found?

    Symptoms in 10% at 5 y, 19% at 10 y, 26% at 15 y

    How large was the observed effect?

    About 2% per year

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Most silent stones can be left alone, but they can cause symptoms later

    What are the study's limitations?

    Observational, heterogeneous studies

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Partly supports (silent stones usually harmless), partly refutes (they can cause symptoms)

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    Directly applicable

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Does not test diet

    Scientific details →

  • UK guideline on gallstones

    National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). NICE guideline 2014
    Guideline / position statementindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key study

    Silent gallstones need no treatment, but people with symptoms or gallbladder inflammation should be offered gallbladder removal.

    Silent stones: no treatment (agrees); symptomatic stones/cholecystitis: offer surgery (disagrees).

    Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Advise on gallstone management

    How was the study done?

    National guideline

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    n/a

    What was actually found?

    No treatment for silent stones; surgery for symptomatic disease

    How large was the observed effect?

    n/a

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Silent stones can be left; painful or complicated stones need care

    What are the study's limitations?

    Predates newest trials

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Partly agrees, mostly disagrees

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    Applicable

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Not about diet

    Scientific details →

Regional context

Germany / EU

Most cited cohorts are Scandinavian (Denmark, Sweden) and directly European; RCTs from the UK and Finland are directly transferable. Guidelines in Europe also emphasize defined indications (not verified here in detail).

Egypt

No Egypt-specific data on rates or outcomes of tonsillectomy, cholecystectomy, hysterectomy, splenectomy or thyroid surgery were identified in this review.

What applies in my country?

General scientific assessment

Mostly false Most gallstones are silent, but the claim that they never cause symptoms is wrong.

This statement concerns biological or medical relationships. The scientific assessment above applies regardless of the country; country-specific food data do not change it.

References

  1. Laparoscopic cholecystectomy versus conservative management for adults with uncomplicated symptomatic gallstones: the C-GALL RCT.. Innes K et al.. Health Technol Assess 2024 · PMID 38943314 · DOI 10.3310/MNBY3104
  2. Restrictive Strategy vs Usual Care for Cholecystectomy in Patients With Abdominal Pain and Gallstones: 5-Year Follow-Up of the SECURE Randomized Clinical Trial.. Comes DJ et al.. JAMA Surg 2024 · PMID 39167382 · DOI 10.1001/jamasurg.2024.3080
  3. Asymptomatic gallstones: Cumulative incidence proportion, incidence rate, and risk factors for symptoms development: Systematic review and meta-analysis.. Alzoubi M et al.. PLoS One 2026 · PMID 41886405 · DOI 10.1371/journal.pone.0345462
  4. Gallstone disease: diagnosis and management (NICE clinical guideline CG188), Recommendations. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). NICE guideline 2014

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