Nezam El-Tayebat Fact CheckA scientific assessment of the “نظام الطيبات” nutrition system
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False Scientifically refuted Certainty of evidence: high provisional C-SRC-56

There are to be no vaccinations: vaccinations, medicines and herbs are forbidden.

Safety note: Do not skip or refuse recommended vaccinations for children or adults on the basis of this claim. Unvaccinated children are at risk of measles, whooping cough and other preventable diseases, and can infect babies and sick people. Discuss concerns with a physician.
In short: This claim is false: vaccines have rare, known side effects, but they prevent very large numbers of illnesses and deaths, and Egypt eliminated measles only because about 96% of children are vaccinated twice.
Conclusion: This claim is false: vaccines have rare, known side effects, but they prevent large numbers of illnesses and deaths; Egypt eliminated measles through high vaccination coverage.
  1. Original statement
  2. Scientific assessment
  3. Scientific evidence in detail
  4. In plain language
  5. Studies on this claim
  6. Regional context
  7. What applies in my country?
  8. References

Original statement

عقلك من الصندوق انت راجل صاحب فكر ماشي ما فيش تطعيمات يا باشا استاذ سوزي سوسي ممنوع التطعيمات ممنوع الادويه ممنوع الاعشاب كل حاجه قديمه للبيع ساره السيد ازيك ما انا لايف النهارده

verbatim according to source. Translation by the project; the Arabic wording is authoritative.

Translation

There are to be no vaccinations: vaccinations, medicines and herbs are forbidden.

Origin

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live!صباح الخير اتباع العوضي (Open source)
Published
19 September 2025
Timestamp
1:06:40 (location in the original video’s automatic YouTube caption track; confirms where the words occur, not who speaks)
Attribution uncertainty
Transcript is YouTube CC or machine-generated (no timestamps); wording may contain speech-recognition errors. Speaker attribution within live streams/podcasts is not marked in the transcript; the excerpt was judged to be Elawady's own speech from context. Recurrence = number of archive transcripts matching the keyword pattern ['تطعيمات|التطعيمات|لقاح|اللقاحات'] (approximate; includes re-uploads/clips; 30 distinct text passages).
Claimed mechanism

Not stated in this excerpt.

Claimed health effect

Not specified.

Population concerned

Everyone (followers).

Geographic restriction by Elawady

none found; he does not limit this statement to a country or to a production system

Diverging source versions

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! اصل الأمراض في فهم الاعراض✌️✌️✌️ (Open source)
Published
5 September 2025
Timestamp
not available (transcript has no timings)
Attribution uncertainty
Further video in which the same statement recurs; no excerpt recorded. Archive transcript without timestamps.
Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! يعني ايه تجويع الخلايا من السكر و ايه علاقتها بمقاومة الانسو (Open source)
Published
2 November 2025
Timestamp
not available (transcript has no timings)
Attribution uncertainty
Further video in which the same statement recurs; no excerpt recorded. Archive transcript without timestamps.

لا ما حدش ياخد تطعيم مدارس خالص ولا يمد في ايده في جسمه بشكه ابره ولا بنقطه ولا بتطعيم ولا اي حاجه

Nobody should take school vaccinations at all, nor let anyone put a needle, a drop or a vaccination into their body.

Source status
Video transcript (own words)
Attribution
Elawady (machine transcript)
Video
Dr Diaa Al Awady د ضياء العوضي is live! الالتهاب ايه هوه ؟ (Open source)
Published
26 September 2025
Timestamp
0:41:13 (location in the original video’s automatic YouTube caption track; confirms where the words occur, not who speaks)
Attribution uncertainty
Archive transcript (YouTube CC or AI-generated); no timestamps; 'published' is the date listed by the archive and may be the upload date. Live-stream transcripts can contain viewer comments read aloud; the quoted passage was checked in context to be spoken by Elawady.

Scientific assessment

False – The statement contradicts the robust evidence.

Certainty of evidence: high – Further research is very unlikely to change the assessment.

1. What was claimed?

There should be no vaccinations; vaccinations, medicines and herbs are forbidden (including school vaccinations).

2. What is demonstrably correct?

Vaccines have side effects, and the Cochrane review quantifies them: MMR-type vaccines cause febrile seizures in about 1 per 1150-1700 doses and ITP in about 1 per 40,000 doses (lower than after natural infection) (I-INTB-16); inactivated influenza vaccine slightly increases fever (1.5% to 2.3%) and its absolute benefit in healthy adults is modest (I-INTB-13). A systematic review of controlled studies found high-strength evidence for MMR and febrile seizures and moderate evidence for rotavirus vaccine and intussusception, all extremely rare (I-SRC-125).

3. What is wrong or exaggerated?

A ban on vaccination contradicts strong evidence of benefit: measles vaccine effectiveness 95% after one dose and 96% after two (I-INTB-16); about 154 million deaths averted since 1974, including 101 million infants (I-INTB-15). No association with autism (OR 0.99) (I-INTB-17) or with encephalitis, type 1 diabetes, asthma or leukaemia (I-INTB-16). In 657,461 Danish children, MMR vaccination was not associated with autism (HR 0.93, 0.85-1.02; I-SRC-104).

4. What remains unclear?

Modelled death estimates depend on assumptions (I-INTB-15).

5. Which studies support it?

I-INTB-16, I-SRC-125 (rare side effects exist), I-INTB-13 (modest benefit in healthy adults).

6. Which studies contradict it?

I-INTB-15, I-INTB-16, I-INTB-17, I-INTB-13, I-SRC-104, I-SRC-105.

7. What applies to Germany and Europe?

Germany's Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO) publishes a standard vaccination calendar for infants, children, adolescents and adults (Impfkalender 2026, rki.de/impfkalender, fetched 2026-10-26).

8. What is known about Egypt?

Egypt has compulsory childhood vaccinations. WHO regional data show 96-97% first-dose and 95-96% second-dose measles vaccine coverage in Egypt in 2023-2024, measles incidence falling from 2.2 per million to zero, and verified sustained measles and rubella elimination for 2024, while low-coverage countries in the region had large outbreaks, mostly among unvaccinated children (I-SRC-105).

9. What practical conclusion is appropriate?

Follow the national vaccination schedule; discuss any concerns or contraindications with a physician.

Assessment details

Rationale for certainty of evidence

High-certainty evidence: MMR vaccination prevents about 95% of measles after one dose (I-INTB-16); vaccination averted an estimated 154 million deaths since 1974 (I-INTB-15); influenza vaccine roughly halves confirmed influenza (I-INTB-13); vaccines are not associated with autism (I-INTB-17).

Source quality

Machine transcript of a live stream; wording may contain recognition errors; meaning checked in context. Repeated in other live streams (e.g. against school vaccinations).

Regional transferability

Universal; Egypt has a national childhood immunisation programme.

Individual exceptions

Some people have specific contraindications (e.g. severe allergy to a vaccine component, some immunodeficiencies for live vaccines); these are decided individually.

Regional scope of the claim
general (biological/medical)
Last reviewed
26 October 2026 provisional

Scientific evidence in detail

Scientifically refuted – High-quality evidence shows the opposite, or the claim contradicts well-established physiology.

Research question: Does avoiding all vaccinations (and medicines and herbs) improve health compared with following national vaccination schedules?

Research question in detail (PICO)
Population
Children and adults (Egypt and general)
Intervention or exposure
No vaccination
Comparison
Vaccination according to national schedules
Geographic scope
universal biology; Egypt-specific coverage and measles data
Outcomes
  • Vaccine-preventable disease incidence and deaths
  • Serious adverse events
  • Autism

Study results as reported by the authors. Our assessment follows below.

What speaks for the claim?

What speaks against the claim?

What does the overall evidence say?

Editorial assessment based on the studies above – not itself a study result.

Which position is better supported?

Vaccination according to national schedules; individual contraindications assessed by physicians.

Why some studies weigh more

Cochrane reviews, very large cohorts and WHO surveillance outweigh rare, quantified harms. Overlapping Cochrane/meta-analytic sources were counted once.

Is a causal relationship established? Yes, established RCTs and large cohorts show vaccines prevent infection and death; autism link excluded in very large cohorts.

Remaining uncertainty

Modelled death estimates depend on assumptions; benefit size differs by vaccine.

Justified conclusion

A general ban on vaccination would remove large, proven protection; Egypt's measles elimination depends on its high coverage.

Why do studies seem to disagree?

Harms evidence (I-SRC-125, I-INTB-16) and benefit evidence do not conflict: both show rare harms and large benefits. Claim also bundles medicines and herbs, which are different questions.

Does this depend on the country?
General biological effects
Immunology universal.
Eating habits
Not applicable.
Origin of the food
Not applicable.
Contaminants
Not applicable.
National production conditions
Not applicable.
Legal rules
Egypt has compulsory childhood vaccination; Germany's STIKO publishes a standard schedule (Impfkalender 2026).
Actual monitoring data
WHO/UNICEF coverage and EMR surveillance (I-SRC-105) show high coverage and measles elimination in Egypt.

A regional difference is supported by robust data.

Statistical re-check
  • Incidence recalculation and HR CI symmetry – 6517/5,025,754 = 129.7/100,000 (matches); HR 0.93 (0.85-1.02) symmetric on log scale recalculated
  • Regional incidence change – EMR +5.0% (110.8 -> 116.3/million); Egypt 2.2 -> 0 recalculated
Certainty of the overall evidence (GRADE, simplified)
Main outcome
Prevention of measles (and other vaccine-preventable disease) by vaccination
Starting level
high (randomised trials)
Reasons for upgrading
  • large effect (95% effectiveness)
Result
high

Simplified assessment by a single reviewer, following the GRADE approach; not a formal GRADE panel. GRADE rates the body of evidence for one outcome, not individual studies.

Clinical guidelines and official statements checked
  • WHO: Measles fact sheet (2026) · Original publication
    About 95,000 measles deaths in 2024; vaccination averted nearly 59 million deaths 2000-2024; vaccine safe, effective and inexpensive; two doses recommended; unvaccinated young children and pregnant persons at highest risk.
  • RKI/STIKO: Impfkalender 2026 (STIKO recommendations, Epid Bull 4/2026) (2026) · Original publication
    RKI publishes the 2026 standard vaccination calendar for infants, children, adolescents and adults; detailed timings are in the linked PDF (not read).
  • CDC: Child and Adolescent Immunization Schedule by Age (addendum updated 2 July 2025) (2025) · Original publication
    Lists routine childhood vaccines including MMR (2 doses), DTaP, polio, Hib, pneumococcal, hepatitis B; page last updated July 2025.
Search strategy

Documented literature searches for this review (search strings in the original database syntax).

DatabaseDateSearchLooking forHitsIncluded
PubMed26 October 2026safety of vaccines used for routine immunization systematic review adverse events childrensupporting evidence26
Europe PMC26 October 2026(vaccin* AND ("serious adverse events" OR harms) AND children AND (systematic review OR meta-analysis)) AND PUB_YEAR:[2014 TO 2026]supporting evidence5563
PubMed26 October 2026measles mumps rubella vaccination autism nationwide cohort studycontradicting evidence2
Europe PMC26 October 2026(Egypt OR Egyptian) AND (measles OR diphtheria OR polio OR pertussis) AND (vaccination coverage OR outbreak OR immunization)contradicting evidence5573
Europe PMC26 October 2026(vaccin*) AND ("Cochrane Database Syst Rev") AND (children) AND (mortality OR efficacy OR effectiveness) AND PUB_YEAR:[2019 TO 2026]contradicting evidence500
WHO / CDC / RKI websites26 October 2026WHO measles fact sheet; CDC child and adolescent immunization schedule; RKI Impfkalender 2026 (web search 'STIKO Impfkalender 2026 Empfehlungen Säuglinge Masern rki.de')guidelines3

How deeply was this checked?

7 linked studies: 2 checked in full text (1 of them with a structured risk-of-bias assessment), 5 on the basis of the abstract, 0 bibliographically only. No formal assessment with two independent reviewers and no independent human expert review has taken place yet.

Last scientific review: 26 October 2026

History of the verdict
  1. 25 October 2026 · Phase 1 · Initial assessment: False (high)
  2. 26 October 2026 · Phase 4 (systematic evidence review) · Re-examined with extended evidence; verdict unchanged: False (high)
    New Danish cohort, safety review and Egypt-specific WHO data confirm the verdict; wording sharpened.
    New sources: I-SRC-104 I-SRC-105 I-SRC-125

In plain language

Dr. Elawady told followers that vaccinations are forbidden, including school vaccinations. Vaccines can have side effects, such as fever and, rarely, febrile seizures. But large reviews show that the measles vaccine prevents about 95% of cases and that vaccines have saved well over 100 million lives since 1974. Vaccines are not linked to autism. Refusing vaccines puts children and others at risk.

Studies on this claim

Studies supporting the claim (0)

No studies in this group.

Studies contradicting or limiting the claim (6)

  • 50 years of vaccination: lives saved

    Shattock AJ et al.. Lancet 2024 · PMID 38705159 · DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00850-X
    Risk assessmentindependent cross-checkfull text, structured risk-of-bias assessment★ key study

    Vaccines against 14 diseases averted an estimated 154 million deaths since 1974 (about 94 million by measles vaccine alone), mostly in young children.

    Vaccination averted about 154 million deaths.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Estimate deaths averted by vaccination

    How was the study done?

    Modelling

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    Global

    What was actually found?

    154 million deaths averted

    How large was the observed effect?

    40% of infant-mortality decline

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Vaccination is one of the main reasons far fewer children die today.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Model-based counterfactual; no formal uncertainty bounds; WHO-funded with WHO-linked authors

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts 'no vaccinations'.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Model estimates are not direct observations.

    Scientific details →

  • Measles-mumps-rubella vaccines work and are safe

    Di Pietrantonj C et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2021 · PMID 34806766 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD004407.pub5
    Systematic reviewindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study

    One dose prevents about 95% of measles; serious side effects are rare and no link to autism was found.

    MMR is highly effective; rare harms quantified.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Assess MMR/MMRV

    How was the study done?

    Cochrane review

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    138 studies, 23 million children

    What was actually found?

    High effectiveness, rare harms

    How large was the observed effect?

    measles RR 0.05

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    The measles vaccine prevents almost all cases; rare side effects such as febrile seizures exist.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Observational data; abstract only

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts 'no vaccinations'.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    Scientific details →

  • Vaccines do not cause autism

    Taylor LE, Swerdfeger AL, Eslick GD. Vaccine 2014 · PMID 24814559 · DOI 10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.04.085
    Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked

    In over 1.2 million children, vaccination was not linked to autism.

    No vaccine-autism link.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Test vaccine-autism link

    How was the study done?

    Meta-analysis

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    10 studies

    What was actually found?

    No association

    How large was the observed effect?

    OR 0.99

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Fear of autism is not a reason to avoid vaccines.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Observational; abstract only

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts vaccine rejection based on autism fears.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    Scientific details →

  • Flu vaccines in healthy adults

    Demicheli V et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018 · PMID 29388196 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD001269.pub6
    Meta-analysisindependent cross-checkabstract checked

    Vaccination roughly halves confirmed influenza (2.3% to 0.9%); absolute benefit is modest.

    Vaccines reduce influenza; no serious harms found.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Assess influenza vaccines

    How was the study done?

    Cochrane review

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    52 trials, >80,000 adults

    What was actually found?

    Fewer influenza cases; small effect on hospitalisation

    How large was the observed effect?

    RR 0.41

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Flu shots reduce flu but do not abolish it; nothing removes seasonal flu from a country in three weeks.

    What are the study's limitations?

    Old trials; abstract only

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts both the 3-week claim and blanket vaccine rejection, while showing modest absolute benefit.

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Does not address older or high-risk adults.

    Scientific details →

  • MMR vaccine does not cause autism

    Hviid A et al.. Ann Intern Med 2019 · PMID 30831578 · DOI 10.7326/M18-2101
    Cohort studyindependent cross-checkabstract checked★ key study

    Among 657,461 Danish children, vaccinated children did not have more autism than unvaccinated ones.

    No autism risk from MMR in 657,461 children.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: high · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Test MMR-autism link

    How was the study done?

    Nationwide cohort

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    657,461 children

    What was actually found?

    No increased autism risk

    How large was the observed effect?

    HR 0.93 (0.85-1.02)

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Fear of autism is not a reason to avoid MMR

    What are the study's limitations?

    Observational

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts banning vaccines

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    Scientific details →

  • Measles in the Eastern Mediterranean 2023-2024

    Farid M et al.. Vaccines (Basel) 2026 · PMID 42646678 · DOI 10.3390/vaccines14080659
    Ecological studyindependent cross-checkfull text checked★ key study

    Egypt, with about 96% of children vaccinated twice, had no measles in 2024, while low-coverage neighbours had large outbreaks.

    Egypt achieved measles elimination with ~96% coverage; outbreaks concentrate among unvaccinated children in the region.

    Does the study support the specific claim? No · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Track measles elimination in the region

    How was the study done?

    Analysis of WHO surveillance data

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    22 countries

    What was actually found?

    Outbreaks where coverage is low; elimination in Egypt

    How large was the observed effect?

    Egypt 0 cases per million in 2024

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    High vaccination keeps measles away

    What are the study's limitations?

    Descriptive data; under-reporting

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Contradicts banning vaccines

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    Egypt-specific

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Causal effect size (not a trial)

    Scientific details →

Studies with mixed or unclear results (1)

  • Safety of routine childhood vaccines

    Maglione MA et al.. Pediatrics 2014 · PMID 25086160 · DOI 10.1542/peds.2014-1079
    Systematic reviewindependent cross-checkabstract checked

    Some vaccines have rare serious side effects (e.g. febrile seizures after MMR); these are very rare compared with the benefits.

    Documents real but very rare serious vaccine harms.

    Does the study support the specific claim? Partly · Methodological quality: moderate · Certainty of evidence: see overall assessment of the claim

    Original publication · Scientific details

    Study explained simply
    What did the researchers want to find out?

    Review vaccine side effects

    How was the study done?

    Systematic review

    How many people, animals or samples were studied?

    67 studies

    What was actually found?

    Rare serious effects for some vaccines; no autism link

    How large was the observed effect?

    Not pooled

    What do the results mean in everyday life?

    Side effects exist but are rare

    What are the study's limitations?

    No pooling

    What does it say about Elawady's specific claim?

    Supports caution, not a ban

    Do the results apply to Germany and Europe?

    High

    What can explicitly not be concluded from this study?

    Exact absolute risks

    Scientific details →

Regional context

Germany / EU

Germany's Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO) publishes a standard vaccination calendar for infants, children, adolescents and adults (Impfkalender 2026, rki.de/impfkalender, fetched 2026-10-26).

Egypt

Egypt has compulsory childhood vaccinations. WHO regional data show 96-97% first-dose and 95-96% second-dose measles vaccine coverage in Egypt in 2023-2024, measles incidence falling from 2.2 per million to zero, and verified sustained measles and rubella elimination for 2024, while low-coverage countries in the region had large outbreaks, mostly among unvaccinated children (I-SRC-105).

What applies in my country?

General scientific assessment

False This claim is false: vaccines have rare, known side effects, but they prevent large numbers of illnesses and deaths; Egypt eliminated measles through high vaccination coverage.

This statement concerns biological or medical relationships. The scientific assessment above applies regardless of the country; country-specific food data do not change it.

References

  1. Contribution of vaccination to improved survival and health: modelling 50 years of the Expanded Programme on Immunization.. Shattock AJ et al.. Lancet 2024 · PMID 38705159 · DOI 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00850-X
  2. Vaccines for measles, mumps, rubella, and varicella in children.. Di Pietrantonj C et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2021 · PMID 34806766 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD004407.pub5
  3. Vaccines are not associated with autism: an evidence-based meta-analysis of case-control and cohort studies.. Taylor LE, Swerdfeger AL, Eslick GD. Vaccine 2014 · PMID 24814559 · DOI 10.1016/j.vaccine.2014.04.085
  4. Vaccines for preventing influenza in healthy adults.. Demicheli V et al.. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2018 · PMID 29388196 · DOI 10.1002/14651858.CD001269.pub6
  5. Measles, Mumps, Rubella Vaccination and Autism: A Nationwide Cohort Study.. Hviid A et al.. Ann Intern Med 2019 · PMID 30831578 · DOI 10.7326/M18-2101
  6. Measles and Rubella Elimination Trends in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region, 2023-2024: Progress and Recent Epidemiological Shifts.. Farid M et al.. Vaccines (Basel) 2026 · PMID 42646678 · DOI 10.3390/vaccines14080659
  7. Safety of vaccines used for routine immunization of U.S. children: a systematic review.. Maglione MA et al.. Pediatrics 2014 · PMID 25086160 · DOI 10.1542/peds.2014-1079

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